By Tom Skilling
August is the wettest and often the muggiest month of the year. Yet, summer heat continues in short supply, continuing a trend that has dominated much of the 21st Century’s opening decade. There have been only 162 days 90 degrees or warmer at Midway Airport over the period from 2000 to 2008. That’s by far the fewest 90-degree temperatures in the opening nine years of any decade on record here since 1930.
chicigotribune.com – August 13, 2008
via Joe S commenting on Watts Up With That?
Shootin’ blind, because I do not have the educated eyes to see where this is heading, the following posting seems to me linked with “Our generation has known a warm, giving Sun, but the next generation will suffer a Sun that is less giving, and the Earth will be less fruitful.” (David Archibald) in the sense that we have some very interesting science being displayed in both the heavens and the earth(‘s media).
Maybe as in “Never mind the Sunlight, feel the Chill“
“So it would seem, that as of August 12th, 2008, we would likely have reached a total of 400 spotless days. The next milestone for recent solar minimas is 446 spotless days, not far off. It will be interesting to see where this current minima ends up.” (Anthony Watts)
“It’s only fairly recently that Ken Schatten has noted the frequent presence of low-latitude coronal holes – very unusual at solar minimum – and wondered if perhaps these allow magnetic flux to reconnect at low latitudes, and through the coronal holes, “escape” into interplanetary space with the solar wind, leaving the sun “drained” of magnetic energy.” (extract from comment by John-X)
Updating this entry to add a further comment by John-X on Watts Up With That?
Caspar and the Jesus paper
“There has been the most extraordinary series of postings at Climate Audit over the last week. As is usual at CA, there is a heavy mathematics burden for the casual reader, which, with a bit of research I think I can now just about follow. The story is a remarkable indictment of the corruption and cyncism that is rife among climate scientists, and I’m going to try to tell it in layman’s language so that the average blog reader can understand it. As far as I know it’s the first time the whole story has been set out in a single posting.”
Bishop Hill – A dissentient afflicted with the malady of thought
13 August, 2008
Just two extracts from a long, balanced and enlightening post:
Warming a boon, not a catastrophe
Paul MacRae, July 30, 2008
“Ice ages are the most obvious evidence for climate change, and we are coming out of the medieval Little Ice Age now. As global temperatures progressively warm, many consider that this relates to carbon emissions dating from the 1850s, but the increase began approximately 300 years ago…” Professor Bill Collins of James Cook University’s School of Earth and Environmental Sciences.
And I reiterate: “Give them (scientists who consider)
12 August, 2008
…with knowledge riding shotgun at your side.
Surely a cautionary tale for those who would thrust runaway, out of control, man-made global warming as a catastrophe crashing upon us; a warning to take a pull and consider those wombat holes, and perhaps death to those who need the engines of the power plants for their very survival?
There are hundreds of scientific opinions linked in this thread alone. Obnservations of caution and doubt. Enough science to say, at the very least, slow down and think.
Leave the stampede a moment and take the long view. Notice the shrieking and the whip of panic being applied by the cynical who stand to gain fame and fortune… and power from a world bolting in fear.
There are many, many voices of reason raised up in doubt. Calm, wise, and mature voices.
Give them your serious attention.
Time enough, then, to re-enter the fray with knowledge riding shotgun at your side.
Lines at the head of this entry extracted from the poem
The Man from Snowy River by Banjo Paterson
Note that our northern state of Queensland is where all we Australians who like the tropics wish to live.
Even Queensland can’t escape from the cold
Brett Dutschke, Tuesday August 12, 2008 – 14:35 EST
NASA Sees Arctic Ocean Circulation Do an About-Face
PASADENA, Calif. – A team of NASA and university scientists has detected an ongoing reversal in Arctic Ocean circulation triggered by atmospheric circulation changes that vary on decade-long time scales. The results suggest not all the large changes seen in Arctic climate in recent years are a result of long-term trends associated with global warming. …
Reporting in Geophysical Research Letters, the authors attribute the reversal to a weakened Arctic Oscillation, a major atmospheric circulation pattern in the northern hemisphere. The weakening reduced the salinity of the upper ocean near the North Pole, decreasing its weight and changing its circulation. …
“Our study confirms many changes seen in upper Arctic Ocean circulation in the 1990s were mostly decadal in nature, rather than trends caused by global warming,” said Morison.
For the first time in the entire history of mankind the world has a common ballot box.
The World Wide Web, the Internet, can take your voice from the meanest hamlet in the most inhospital corner of the globe and project it onto the world stage.
It is the miracle of our time.
Use it wisely; use it well; and use it often.
11 August, 2008
Throughout this long tale of human endeavour, climate and sea-levels have changed over and over again, sometimes slowly, sometimes dramatically, with sub-tropical interludes, ice ages, permafrost, temperate floods, and drought. Likewise, the vegetation has swung between forest and heath, open meadow, swamp land and sea, between chilly tundra, boreal forests, mixed deciduous forests, and grassland.
Yet, despite all this often dramatic climate change, neither Ebbsfleet, nor the Earth, came to a crunching halt, while humans went on, adapting and altering their lives, growing stronger, healthier, and older throughout. Today, the people of Ebbsfleet live longer and with less hardship than any of these, our doughty ancestors.
Sunday, 10 August, 2008
Global Warming Politics
10 August, 2008
“We have proof of man-made global warming,” roared conservative American radio host Rush Limbaugh. “The man-made global warming is inside NASA.”
Just one clip from
Arthur Scargill –
M. Jeff notes in comments (#2): “Please try to show more tolerance for the mathematically challenged and those who have to exaggerate their sharpshooting skills. In my rural Texas high school learning to dehorn and castrate was a major part of the curriculum as compared to less important subjects such as math…”
The twisting of our minds, the withering of our souls…
“We are facing a monumental energy crisis, yet we live on an island with more than 1,000 years of coal reserves from which we can provide all the electricity, oil, gas and petrochemicals that people need, without causing harm to the environment. Britain – despite its massive indigenous deep-mine coal reserves – has never had an integrated energy policy based on coal and renewables, and as a consequence we are now facing the worst energy crisis in our history.”
If your sense of rightness has been numbed right down you should be able to handle the following without willing bloodshed abroad.
“We seem to be having occasional success in getting things archived. CSIRO was shamed into providing the data for their Drought Report and David Stockwell has now reported on this…”
Abandon hope, all ye who enter here…
The Australian – 8 August, 2008
Perhaps I am too innocent for this world, but I find this story shocking; so much so that I may indeed abandon hope in rational belief and fact prevailing until we of the western world have flagellated ourselves into wreckage and then, and only then, begun to bootstrap ourselves back into reality.
In the following pages there is proof and explanation sufficient to disburse the thickest mind of guilt that man is a poison to his own world. People of note and facts indisputable are linked there… but to what avail?
Hard fact that does no harm is no longer the fashion, so, perhaps:
If thou hearest thunder quickly kill the nearest virgin to appease the Gods; of if none be handy then terrify a child…
That is the modus operandi of those sunken to the depravity of man-made climate change priests of (their) plenty amongst their wide-eyed congregation of witless fools.
06 August, 2008
Is is not only Alice who is in Wonderland…
Antarctic Fossils Paint Picture Of Much Warmer Continent
(Some clips to whet your appetite.)
An abrupt and dramatic climate cooling of 8 degrees Celsius, over a relatively brief period of geological time roughly 14 million years ago, forced the extinction of tundra plants and insects and transformed the interior of Antarctica into a perpetual deep-freeze from which it has never emerged.
The mean summertime temperatures would have dropped in that period by as much as 8 degrees Celsius. On average, the summertime temperatures in the Valleys during this temperate period would have been as much as 17 degrees warmer than the present-day average.
This conclusion suggests that even when global atmospheric temperatures were warmer than they are now, as occurred–approximately 3.5 million years ago during the Pliocene Epoch–and as might occur in the near future as a consequence of global warming, there was no significant melting of the East Antarctic ice sheet inland of the Dry Valleys, nor were there dramatic changes in environmental conditions in the fossil region.
ScienceDaily (Aug. 6, 2008)
“If you shout “fire” in a crowded theatre, when there is none, you understand that you might be arrested for irresponsible behaviour and breach of the peace.”
So why do you shout it, sir?
Are you outside the law?
National Center for Policy Analysis
05 August, 2008
“Approximately 24 hours after I published my story on the January to July trend reversal of CO2 at Mauna Loa, the monthly mean graph that is displayed on the NOAA web page for Mauna Loa Observatory has changed. I’ve setup a blink comparator to show what has occurred:”
Jim Arndt asks in the second response to this posting:
“Bob. Why is it hotter a 1000 years ago than today that is the question, but it is much too sensitive to bring up.”
Jones et al 1998: Impact of New Versions
By Steve McIntyre
Shrill alarm and cries of doom will undo the AGW extremists; and leave science-science a long, long haul to restore our faith, and hence our future.
Dr David Stockwell, a leading expert on ecological niche modeling, checked the CSIRO’s (Australia’s Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation) figures and assumptions behind its warning of more drought thanks to global warming, and found in fact:
… that the results show no significant increase in drought due to greenhouse warming in almost all regions of Australia
Stockwell’s conclusions were hampered by the CSIRO’s refusal to hand over the data it had used to make its terrifying predictions. Eventually the CSIRO caved in, and Stockwell has since crunched its numbers and found the CSIRO’s models are in fact worthless, not even being able to “predict” past climate:
Andrew Bolt Blog, 05 August, 2008
There are walls of stone built by our forefathers which have yet the strength to take the full force of the juggernauts of the doomsayers and throw them back upon themselves in wreck:
Five years after complaints about data quality quashed the first federal assessment of climate change in the United States, an industry group is resurrecting the tactic. On Friday, the U.S. Chamber of Commerce asked the government to withdraw a major Climate Change Science Program report released in May. The group argued that the analysis violates a federal law that requires agencies to employ “sound science” because it relies on unpublished information. …
“The public cannot presently judge the reliability and objectivity of the synthesis report, because the public cannot access the underlying documents on which the synthesis report is based,” the group wrote in official comments it filed Friday with the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Agency, the lead agency that produced the analysis.
ICECAP – 04 August, 2008
04 August, 2008
Mauna Loa CO2 January to July trend goes negative first time in history
Anthony Watts comments:
Of ships and shoes and sealing wax…
Perhaps the logs of ships long gone to grave will yet put the seal of history on the science available daily refuting the alarm being sown amongst us that the world is… um… doomed (yet again)?
Follow the story on
03 August, 2008
By Joseph D’Aleo, CCM, AMS Fellow
“This cooling has occurred even as CO2 increased 3.5%. A similar decoupling took place from the 1940s to the late 1970s when temperatures fell as CO2 accelerated upwards into the post-war boom years.”
Washington Examiner via ICECAP
02 August, 2008
Global Warming Message Morphs as Earth Cools
If AGW is a myth, then why do scientists of note, lesser mortals, and even politicians believe it is truth?
“The scientists, despite their impressive credentials, were accused of bias because some of them had done research financed by the food industry. And so the informational cascade morphed into what the economist Timur Kuran calls a reputational cascade, in which it becomes a career risk for dissidents to question the popular wisdom.”
Read the full text of:
By JOHN TIERNEY
New York Times, 9 October, 2007
…and cry for the simple minds we yet are.
NCDC changes from national record keeper to advocacy group
Anthony Watts comments: “To say the least, I’m shocked that NCDC’s leadership has changed from being the nation’s record keeper of weather and climatic data, to being what appears to me now as an advocacy group. The draft document reads more like a news article in many places than it does a scientific document, and unlike a scientific document, it has a number of what I would call “emotionally based graphics” in it that have nothing to do with the science.”
And further down in Comments On The Draft CCSP Report “Global Climate Change Impacts in the United States” in a guest post by Dr. Roger Pielke, read: “As a result, this report continues the biased narrow perspective of the earlier CCSP reports, as has been reported on a number of times on Climate Science and in other communications. As just one example of the bias, the Karl et al report starts with the text…”
Watts Up With That? – 01 August, 2008
We know so very little, but presume to know so much — remember when we were very young and in our ignorance could so easily set the whole world (and mum and dad) right?
Cold And Ice, Not Heat, Episodically Gripped Tropical Regions 300 Million Years Ago
ScienceDaily (Aug. 1, 2008) — Geoscientists have long presumed that, like today, the tropics remained warm throughout Earth’s last major glaciation 300 million years ago. New evidence, however, indicates that cold temperatures in fact episodically gripped these equatorial latitudes at that time.
Award-winning Astronaut Slams Hansen – Urges NASA to ‘Debunk the current hysteria’ over Warming
01 August, 2008
A encouraging response on satellite CO2 measurement from the AIRS Team
“The UN’s predictions are already being falsified by events: global temperatures have been falling for seven years, and not one of the climate models relied upon so heavily and so unwisely by the IPCC predicted that turn of events.”
Christopher Monckton warns (Australia’s) Climate Change Minister Penny Wong that the Rudd Government’s mad plans to cut “carbon pollution” is a disaster built on a fallacy.
Andrew Bolt Blog, 1 August, 2008
31 July, 2008
The very idea that they will follow Europe on climate change is risible…
30 July, 2008
30 July, 2008 “Fear is a very efficient weapon: It produces the desired effect without much waste. Global warming has nothing to do with how much CO2 is produced or what we do here on Earth. For millions of years, solar activity has been controlling temperatures on Earth and even now, the sun controls how high the mercury goes. CO2 emissions make absolutely no difference one way or another. Soon it will cool down anyhow, once again, regardless of what we do…”
Professor Kunihiko Takeda, Vice-Chancellor of the Institute of Science and Technology Research at Chubu University.
Interview by Judit Kawaguchi on Global Warming Politics – 29 July, 2008
Zealots with an obscene agenda.
A threat to the very heart of western civilization.
“The thirst to wield massive control over our economy helps explain the near religious belief in man-made global warming and the attacks on scientists and others who offer contradictory evidence.”
A Country At Mercy Of Environmentalists
By WALTER E. WILLIAMS | Tuesday, July 29, 2008
29 July, 2008
“The creation of the UN IPCC was a cataclysmic event in the history of science. Here was a purely political body posing as a scientific institution.”
By John Brignell,
We sure know our science downunder:
“The first sentence of the opening section of her paper, entitled “Why we need to act”, contains seven scientific errors — almost one error for every two words.”
Professor Bob Carter on Australian Climate Minister Penny Wong’s “green paper”.
Bob Carter, 29 July, 2008 –
28 July, 2008
“Are you ready to see over 7,500 years of summer temperatures from Finland?”
The work from which the above line is taken was conducted by three scientists from the Finnish Forest Research Institute and the University of Helsinki. They begin their piece noting that:
“The growth of Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) is highly sensitive to June-July temperatures at the Finnish pine timberline. Exceptional preservation of pine wood and it accumulation in non-oxygen muddy bottoms of ice-cold lakes have made it possible to build a 7641 years long continuous tree-ring chronology.”
World Climate Report, 20 June, 2008
27 July, 2008
The Clouds, the Dust, and the Chemistry…
By Freeman Dyson
The Third Culture
“…The models solve the equations of fluid dynamics, and they do a very good job of describing the fluid motions of the atmosphere and the oceans. They do a very poor job of describing the clouds, the dust, the chemistry and the biology of fields and farms and forests. They do not begin to describe the real world that we live in. The real world is muddy and messy and full of things that we do not yet understand. It is much easier for a scientist to sit in an air-conditioned building and run computer models, than to put on winter clothes and measure what is really happening outside in the swamps and the clouds. That is why the climate model experts end up believing their own models.”
Once we were proud of Australia’s Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO); now they bring shame on our country:
CSIRO heavy: don’t trust CSIRO’s scares
Art Raiche, former Chief Research Scientist of the CSIRO, says the organisation’s fear-mongering over climate change can’t be trusted:
“Sadly, over the last decade, CSIRO has transformed itself from a once-respected research institute into a highly centralised, government enterprise (oxymoron?), replete with intersecting layers of expensive management, focused on continual reorganisation. Scientific independence has been lost…”
Andrew Bolt Blog – 27 July, 2008
26 July, 2008
MORE GLOBAL COOLING AHEAD, STUDY SAYS
NCPA Daily Policy Digest – 25 July, 2008
By GEORGE BRYSON
Anchorage Daily News – 24 July, 2008
An Aussie Gets Angry…
“Each day’s passing of anaemic Solar Cycle 24 sunspot activity reinforces the imminent cooling.”
David Archibald 23rd July 2008
Evidence of Variability of Atmospheric CO2 During the 20th Century
Ernst-Georg Beck, Dipl. Biology
“Wet chemical analyses indicate three atmospheric CO2 maxima in the northern hemisphere up to approx. 400 ppm over land and sea since about 1812. The measured atmospheric CO2 concentrations since 1920 -1950 prove to be strongly correlated (more than 80 %) with the arctic sea surface temperature (SST). A detailed analysis of the Atlantic Ocean water during the arctic warming since 1918 – 1939 by Wattenberg (southern Atlantic ocean) and Buch (northern Atlantic ocean) indicates a very similar state of the Atlantic.”
A short extract from a significant story in ICECAP – 24 July, 2008.
NYT: Expert Says Arctic Ocean Will Soon Be an Open Sea
“Catastrophic Shifts in Climate Feared if Change Occurs”
“In case you missed it, this article in the New York Times illustrates what some scientists believe is a very serious issue, and they are speaking out on it.”
But do not stop reading here to rush out and make your boat seaworthy. Follow Anthony’s story on Watts Up With That? and think on it some, first…
Inhofe’s Energy Speech: ‘Time to End Democratic Party’s Obstruction’
WASHINGTON, DC – Sen. James Inhofe (R-Okla.), Ranking Member of the Environment and Public Works Committee, gave a floor speech on America’s energy policy today.
Selected Excerpts of Inhofe’s Energy Speech
“I believe that America is not running out of oil and gas or running out of places to look for oil and gas. America is running out of places where the Democrats in Congress are allowing us to look for oil and gas. Again I ask, why should producing America’s own resources be a partisan issue? It shouldn’t be, but it is.”
U.S. Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works (22 July, 2008)
South Sea Bubble #2
Almost a carbon copy; only the end date is missing…
24 July, 2008
“For, while I have no fears over ‘global warming’, by George, I find the self-righteous intolerance of the ‘global warming’ bigots truly terrifying.”
Global Warming Politics, 23 July, 2008
SEC petitioned to warn companies against making false and misleading claims on global warming; Misinformation puts investors at risk, says Free Enterprise Action Fund (Ticker: FEAOX)
Based on the foregoing, we request that the Commission immediately inform and remind registrants that:
1. False and/or misleading statements on material matters may violate the anti-fraud provision of the federal securities laws.
2. Statements by registrants on global warming and other environmental issues could be considered material.
3. There is considerable ongoing debate about the science of global warming and its impacts and;
4. Statements to the effect that “the science is conclusive,” “the debate is over,” and that “human activities are definitely causing harmful global warming” should be avoided.
23 July, 2008
Waiting for Godot; then failing to recognise him when he comes…
The World ran Mad, and each distempered Brain, Did Strange and different Frenzies entertain.
(Mrs. Aphra Behn. 1688. A Poem to Sir Roger L’Estrange on his third Part of the History of the Times, Relating to the Death of Sir Edmund Bury-Godfrey.)
“I predict that in the coming years, there will be a growing realization among the global warming research community that most of the climate change we have observed is natural, and that mankind’s role is relatively minor.
(via Watts Up With That? today)
“A new fossil discovery- the first of its kind from the whole of the Antarctic continent- provides scientists with new evidence to support the theory that the polar region was once much warmer.”
ScienceDaily (July 23, 2008)