15 July, 2008
“Global Warmening is causing the seas to dry up faster than we can fill them with melting ice??? Aiieee!!!!”
Anthony of Parramatta neatly summing up the hysteria abroad in the western world on Andrew Bolt’s forum today in response to
An icy fact the ABC forgot to mention
14 July, 2008
The Correlation Between Temperature and Precipitation: Can’t Find One
“The media constantly bombards the public with reports of increases, decreases, maximums, minimums, droughts, floods, all associated with anthropogenic climate change. If there was a correlation in the data record between increases in anthropogenic greenhouse gases and temperature or between temperature and precipitation, those claims might have some basis in reality. We’ve all seen the numerous representations of greenhouse gases and temperature by both sides of the debate, each illustrating correlation or lack thereof. But I’ve never seen LST (land surface temperature) and precipitation compared side by side.”
Notes from Bob Tisdale, 13 July, 2008 in CLIMATE OBSERVATIONS
13 July, 2008
(That’s you and me)
“But the Centre is doing everything it can to mislead the public in hopes that the planet will start warming again before the peasants figure out that, maybe, the “consensus” climate science prophets are, in fact, plain wrong.”
How the Hadley Centre spins the data on non-warming
Paul MacRae, July 11, 2008
(Some clips from this article)
Britain’s Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research is in a spot of bother at the moment.
Why work so hard to hide the truth?
Because the truth doesn’t agree with the Centre’s hypothesis that humans are the “driving” force behind climate. In short, it’s an embarrassment, and therefore to be underplayed as much as possible.
(Story picked up in ICECAP)
11 July, 2008
The following is a caution against too readily accepting sudden blinding insights and excitements in media headlines. Extreme glacial movement and melting of the Greenland ice sheet leading to rising (even “catatrophic rising”) of the world’s oceans fitted neatly into the mood of its time in the media.
This “different” angle investigation shows is unlikely to command the same excitement. It lacks the drama.
The original rising “science” will remain in the public consciousness, and probably be taught in the schools.
The boring truth will not be suppressed; just ignored.
Intensified Ice Sheet Movements Do Not Affect Rising Sea Levels
“Over the long term, therefore, the feedback mechanism between the glacial melting and ice sheet movement contributes little to rising sea levels.”
Science Daily, 11 July, 2008
10 July, 2008
THE HOT WATER BOTTLE EFFECT
“… My conclusion was that we owe our existence not to an atmospheric greenhouse or blanket but instead to an oceanic hot water bottle. It is what I hope will become widely known as The Hot Water Bottle Effect (THWBE) in place of The Greenhouse Effect.
“The recent global warming spell was never a result of any greenhouse effect. It was entirely a result of THWBE whereby heat already stored in the oceans and released by a positive phase of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation supplemented a historically high level of solar irradiation. …”
This link also provides access to Stephen Wilde’s previous work:
1. Global Warming and Cooling -The Reality
2. The Real Link Between Solar Energy, Ocean Cycles and Global Temperature
3. The Death Blow To Anthropogenic Global Warming
4. The Hot Water Bottle Effect
9 July, 2008
Steve McIntyre of Climate Audit has played upon: “Lewis Richardson’s famous 1920 climate science paper ‘The supply of energy from and to Atmospheric Eddies’ was neatly summarized by the poem:
Big whorls have little whorls
That feed on their velocity,
And little whorls have lesser whorls
And so on to viscosity.
to create for today’s climate science fraca…
…well, you will have to go and see: “So here is a modern version of Lewis Richardson’s famous doggerel.”
Climate Audit, 8 July, 2008
9 July, 2008
A study on the impact of rising CO2 levels finds a future world of thriving agriculture and lush vegetation.
Carbon dioxide, the gas some see as a threat, is indeed the key to life on Earth.
“Higher CO2 enables plants to grow faster and larger and to live in drier climates,” explained Lawrence Solomon in a June 7 article on the Running/Nemani findings in Canada’s Financial Post.
G-8, CO2 And The Garden Of Eden
Investor Business Daily, 8 July, 2008
8 July, 2008
Humour pricks pomposity into an explosion of merriment to lift the lowest spirit above the very deepest of depression; and Philip Stott is a master of the common pin touched lightly to the tight-stretched skin of buffoon and blunderous alike:
Reporting ahead of the G8 conference he notes (amongst much else):
We “Can Call Spirits From The Vasty Deep.”
The Hotspur comments:
“Why, so can I,
or so can any man;
But will they come when you do call for them?”
Global Warming Politics – 7 July, 2008
8 July, 2008
“Those who perpetrated possibly the greatest deception in human history that CO2 is causing global warming/climate change are scared. Events are driving them to extreme, unsubstantiated and even ridiculous claims and threats.”
Alarmists use weather to promote global warming hoax
By Dr. Tim Ball – Monday, July 7, 2008
Canada Free Press
7 July, 2008
“All levity aside, I’d hate for a repeat of Lake Nyos to occur in Australia because of a misguided attempt to sequester plant food.”
A response by “swampie” to this story on Watts Up With That? :
Also Going Down: Carbon dioxide burial reaches a milestone.
The Lake Nyos story
“Some 1,700 people living in the valley below Lake Nyos in northwestern Cameroon mysteriously died on the evening of August 26, 1986. Word of the disaster spread, and scientists arrived from around the world. What they discovered was that the crater lake, perched inside a dormant volcano, had become laden with carbon dioxide gas. This gas had suddenly bubbled out of the lake and asphyxiated nearly every living being in the surrounding valley community.”
From: Savage Planet
5 July, 2008
Bringing a little melody to the debate.
Climate Change And The ‘Stradivarius’
“…who likewise attribute the special quality of the wood used by Stradivari to tree-ring growth during a time of unusually low solar activity, the period called the Maunder Minimum (c. 1645 to 1715/50), a key event in the ‘Little Ice Age’ [see: ‘Did “Little Ice Age” Create Stradivarius Violins’ Famous Tone?’, National Geographic News, January 7, 2004]. During this period, temperatures throughout Europe were much cooler by between 0.5 degrees C to 2 degrees C, causing stunting, with slower tree growth and unusually dense wood.”
From the story in: Global Warming Politics, 2 July, 2008
5 July, 2008
“How much carbon dioxide does it take to grow the wheat required to produce a loaf of bread?
“…Far from being a pollutant, man along with every animal on land, fish in the sea, and bird in the air is totally dependent on atmospheric carbon dioxide for his food supply.”
(Extracts from the words of Dirck T. Hartmann, who worked on the Apollo Space Program and many other significant NASA projects, was a fighter pilot in WWII, flying P38s…)
4 July, 2008
Only 990 years to go for man-made global warming hysteria to fade away… a statement based loosely on the staying power of Aristotle’s eight-legged flies.
Or were they four-legged flies?
Whichever, the story provides a sobering caution in belief, particularly blind, unchallenging, belief; and the fact we can still have confusion between four legs and eight does nothing to give confidence in any direction.
“For centuries scholars were content to quote his authority – and lived and worked in the belief that flies had eight legs. Apparently, many of them were not curious enough to examine a fly themselves and to count its six legs. But even worse many of those who did do so counted six legs, but remained convinced that a fly had eight. Because, let’s be fair, who would be right the famous wise man Aristotle or a stupid little fly?”
A Tale of Eight Legs on a Fly
Gerard Korteweg and Focco W. Vijselaar
“His (Aristotle’s) statement that flies have four legs was repeated in natural history texts for more than a thousand years despite the fact that a little counting would have proven otherwise.”
counting would have proven otherwise.
Katrin Weigmann – The consequence of errors
4 July, 2008
I add “please” to “Stay warm, World…” when I read:
“In 2001, the temperature dropped to a record-breaking -57C. Some 15,000 herders lost all of their animals through starvation and cold, and with them, their money and food.
Harsh winters force Mongolian horsemen to abandon nomadic life
By Hazel Southam
Telegraph.co.uk, 2 July,2008
(via a story in ICECAP dated 3 July, 2008)
3 July, 2008
A nicely reasoned and overdue response from poster “fred” in commenting on a request to another poster by Anthony Watts on Watts Up With That? to:
“Agreed!” writes fred. “The use of the expression should be deeply offensive whether one agrees with AGW or not. The implication (intended) is that no good faith rational dissent is possible.
“There are cases where the expression is appropriate. An example that springs to mind is the Breathearians (who deny that eating or intake of food is necessary to survival). There are people who deny historical facts, such as the Gulag or the Holocaust, who are ideologically motivated.
“Skepticism about the AGW hypothesis however is much more like skepticism of the efficacy of Psychoanalysis, or skepticism about whether obesity really is a public health crisis. Its a perfectly reasonable point of view, with evidence for and against it, where reasonable people in good faith looking at the same facts may come to different conclusions.”
3 July, 2008
UAH Global Temperatures, June 2008 still low “unofficially”
A breaking story with a plethora of opportunities for the use of smoke and mirrors to wring out a desired conclusion; though the graphs show the good old World holding a nice even line despite the spikes and dips of outraged fortune…
Follow this on Climate Audit
and on Watts Up With That?
2 July, 2008
Just the tip of an iceberg (we still have those things?) of the story in ICECAP today is quoted below.
It continues with, essentially, ships and shoes and sealing wax, and a link to a nice story in today’s Wall Street Journal. ”Global Warming as Mass Neurosis”.
“The Bret Stephens piece that Ed Craig excerpts below also brings to mind the work of Leon Festinger, whose pioneering work on cognitive dissonance theory is so applicable to a movement whose noisiest champions often lead the most incompatible lifestyles imaginable.”
When Prophecy Fails
By Chris Horner
ICECAP, 1 July, 2008
1 July, 2008
New Little Ice Age
Instead of Global Warming?
by Dr. Theodor Landscheidt
From the abstract:
“Analysis of the sun’s varying activity in the last two millennia indicates that contrary to the IPCC’s speculation about man-made global warming as high as 5.8° C within the next hundred years, a long period of cool climate with its coldest phase around 2030 is to be expected…”
Schroeter Institute for Research in Cycles of Solar Activity
Klammerfelsweg 5, 93449 Waldmünchen, Germany
30 June, 2008
The warming is the best of times; and we are too foolish to recognise it.
“Russian and foreign research data confirm that global temperatures in 2007 were practically similar to those in 2006, and, in general, identical to 1998-2006 temperatures, which, basically, means that the Earth passed the peak of global warming in 1998-2005,” said Khabibullo Abdusamatov, head of a space research lab at the Pulkovo observatory in St. Petersburg.
Scientist says Earth could soon face new Ice Age
Ren Zhenqiu, Institute of Weather and Climate Research, Academy of Meteorological Science, SMA, Beijing
Received: 12 November 1985
Abstract This paper points out that (1) there were 5 abnormal periods of climate in China over the last 1000 years, in which the frequency, the severity and the influenced area of such calamities as low temperature, drought and flood increased greatly…
(Derived from a post in “Watts Up With That” on 29 June, 2008, by “Agwbs“)
28 June. 2008
“August, 1994,” Stevens said over the phone, remembering the last time Fairbanks reached 90 degrees. “This is the longest stretch of no-nineties in the Alaska climate record, since 1904.”
A wonderful report from Alaska datelined June 25, 2008, by Ned Rozell, that is filled with a sense of adventure and faraway places I’m longing to see.
“Due for a spell of the roaring 90s” fires the imagination but cools any thoughts of a runaway global warming.
“The highest temperature recorded in the Territory (in 1915) was 100 degrees, at Fort Yukon, June 27.”
To be read; if only for the pleasure of a vicarious visit to this great white land.
27 June, 2008
James Hansen: Abusing the Public Trust
Monday, James Hansen, Director of NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS), addressed Congress and brought a new twist to his tired global warming song and dance routine. Hansen now seems to be calling for the chief executives of Big Oil to be tried for high crimes against humanity. Their crime? Spreading doubt about global warming.
Actually, it is Hansen who is guilty. Guilty of abusing the public trust.
By Brian Sussman
American Thinker, June 24, 2008
26 June, 2008
placing your ‘global warming’ rubbish in the wrong bin may lead to a fine and/or a criminal record.
A delightful piece by Philip Stott on his Global Warming Politics blog; a humorous man of some wisdom who does not suffer fools gladly, but does seem to enjoy the opportunities they allow him to smile…
In this piece, “Recycling ‘Global Warming’ Rubbish“, he offers us the “…official 2008 ‘Guide to the International Symbols for Recycling Media Rubbish about ‘Global Warming’’, and makes those symbols available for general usage, with the note:
“The mindless rubbish about ‘global warming’ that is recycled on a daily basis by journalists, or spouted on radio and television, surely deserves its very own ‘Recycling Code’ to match that, say, for plastics. Global Warming Politics is happy to oblige.”
26 June, 2008
Surprise: Explosive volcanic eruption under the Arctic ice found
Comment by KuhnKat on Watts Up With That?
“Basically the oceans floor heaters. They estimate 1 BILLION Gallons of water a year being heated through this vent system.”
And from the story on Watts:
“Explosive volcanic eruptions on land are nothing unusual and pose a great threat for whole areas,” explains Dr Vera Schlindwein of the Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research in the Helmholtz Association. She participated in the expedition as a geophysicist and has been, together with her team, examining the earthquake activity of the Arctic Ocean for many years. “The Vesuvius erupted in 79 AD and buried thriving Pompeii under a layer of ash and pumice. Far away in the Arctic Ocean, at 85° N 85° E, a similarly violent volcanic eruption happened almost undetected in 1999 – in this case, however, under a water layer of 4,000 m thickness.”
Click for full story: Watts Up With That?
25 June, 2008
Witch hunts can never be justified, but the opportunity to make a balanced point on a matter vital to humanity should never be ignored by anyone with a concern for the good of the world at large; and Anthony Watts is giving an opportunity here to make your voice heard.
When I last clicked on the “View Results” tab you will see by following the voting link below, balance was showing as far ahead amongst the options offered; and knowing the results will be published widely I found this particularly heartening.
When people of goodwill speak out, all people are better for it. Please take this opportunity.
(The results will be submitted to a member of the U.S. Senate for distribution; NASA’s director; and will also be mailed to Dr. Hansen at NASA GISS.)
Reader Poll: James Hansen calls for trials of energy executives, what next?
“This poll will gauge reader perception to the issue that Dr. Hansen of NASA has recently raised that I cover in my post here. One vote per computer, and please spread this permalink to the poll far and wide to get a good mix of input across the blogosphere.” (Watts Up With That?)
25 June, 2008
Dr. Fred W. Decker, Professor of Meteorology at Oregon State University, signed the 2008 Oregon Petition dissenting from man-made climate fears. “There is no convincing scientific evidence that human release of carbon dioxide, methane, or other greenhouse gases is causing or will, in the foreseeable future, cause catastrophic heating of the Earth’s atmosphere and disruption of the Earth’s climate…”
“Moreover, there is substantial scientific evidence that increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide produce many beneficial effects upon the natural plant and animal environments of the Earth,” the petition that Decker signed states.
And note well the wonderfully humourous story of “his study of the records from the central Washington courthouse lawn…” a classic which really needs a Mark Twain to do it full justice.
Purposeful Manipulation of Temperature Data or Poor Practice?
By April E. Coggins on Paloustics
ICECAP, Jun 24, 2008
Palousitics, 22 June, 2008
June 24, 2008
Warming on 11 year hiatus? How about cooling?
Global warming on hiatus? It looks to me like more evidence of global cooling. Will it continue? Neither linear regression nor loess lines can answer that question. But the loess lines certainly warn us to be cautious in naively extrapolating historical trends derived by simple linear regression.
Not even GISS can support the conclusion from the last 11 years of data that global warming continues to march upward in unrelenting fashion.
Clips from a guest post by Basil Copeland
on Watts Up With That?
June 23, 2008
Three interlinked stories/viewpoints sounding strong warnings that the western world is in serious danger of losing reality to wild-eyed prophets of doom who have lost all sense of balance; all sense of the wisdom of the ages:
June 22, 2008
Hansen Goes Off the Deep End Again. Time for NASA or the Public to End his Reign
June 23, 2008
Put Oil Firm Chiefs on Trial, Says Leading Climate Change Scientist.
By Ed Pilkington, The Guardian
June 22, 2008
If Global Warming was a company decison, how would you vote?
Watts Up With That?
Follow this through to the “Comments” where there are additional insights.
June 21, 2008
I HEAR on the scientific grapevine that CSIRO’s (Australia’s Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation) biggest problem when providing formal advice to the federal Government on the matter of climate change is to say nothing that can be interpreted as giving aid and comfort to the army of irresponsible sceptics out there who are doubtful about the dreadful consequences of global warming.
One can only feel sorry for the Government. Where can it go these days to get unbiased advice on the issue of global warming? Its official sources are poisoned by the fear among many scientists that they may be labelled by their colleagues and by their institutions as climate-change sceptics.
Basically, the problem is that the research community has gone so far along the path of frightening the life out of the man in the street that to recant publicly even part of the story would massively damage the reputation and political clout of science in general. And so, like corpuscles in the blood, researchers all over the world now rush in overwhelming numbers to repel infection by any idea that threatens the carefully cultivated belief in climatic disaster.
Emeritus Professor and Honorary Research Fellow,
Institute of Antarctic and Southern Ocean Studies,
University of Tasmania
Letter in The Australian, May 30, 2008
(Thanks to Peter K Anderson)
Three Cheers For Ann
Philip Stott has more to say on AGW:
Thus, in the UK, ‘global warming’ was allowed to burgeon into an authoritarian and intolerant monster, one threatening freedom of thought and debate, and undermining critical journalism and politics.
And along the way quotes Ann Widdecombe, the Conservative Member of Parliament for Maidstone and The Weald, and a Privy Counsellor:
“I am most certainly not prepared to vote to commit Britain to a course of action which will make not a jot of difference to global temperatures but which could change our way of life and leave us unable to compete with those countries that keep a better sense of proportion.”
June 20, 2008
As the Earth Cools: What Does it Mean for the Energy Industry?
(Some clips from an extensive and compelling article)
Between January 2007 and May 2008 the earth cooled by as much as it had warmed in the past 100 years, according to a meteorologist at the University of Alabama.
A growing number of influential people in the developing world (this includes China, India, Indonesia, Vietnam, as well as Russia) are openly rejecting the idea that human activity has any measurable influence on the planetary climate or even that there is anything unusual or abnormal about the climate at present. Some of these people, joined by hundreds of scientists in the U.S. and Western Europe advance the idea that sunspot activity (which is cyclical) and the recently discovered (as recent as 1996) PDO (Pacific Decadal Oscillation: 20 to 30 year warming and cooling of the north-central Pacific Ocean) explain the cyclicality of global temperatures.
Two scientists at the National Solar Laboratory in Arizona project that sunspots will vanish by 2015, leading to a multi-decade down cycle in solar activity. The last time this happened was in 1645-1715 leading to bitterly cold winters and repeated crop failures (and to Napoleon’s defeat in Russia during the summer never came).
Human beings are miserable at forecasting but they are pretty good at improvising and adapting. Why not focus on the strength rather than invest so heavily in the weakness?
Vinod K. Dar
Right Side News, June 18, 2008
June 18, 2008
Mythical UN IPCC ‘Consensus’ Continues to Crumble:
Top UN IPCC Japanese Scientist Turns on IPCC. Calls Warming Fears:
‘Worst scientific scandal in the history’.
Dr. Kiminori Itoh, an award-winning PhD environmental physical chemist who specializes in optical waveguide spectroscopy from the Yokohama National University, also contributed to the
2007 UN IPCC AR4 (fourth assessment report) as an expert reviewer. Itoh, a former lecturer at the University of Tokyo, just released his new book Lies and Traps in the Global Warming Affairs (currently in Japanese only).